Short Butterfly:4 Trades, Limited upside, limited downside, betting on volatility
Trades Cash Flow
1. Sell Call strike = 45 + 4.40
2. Buy 2 Calls strike =47.50 - 5.30 (2*2.65)
3. Sell Call strike = 50 + 1.30
Initial cash flow = 0.40 cents inflow
If the position is kept open till expiry on May 19th, the max profit to expect = 0.40 cents
max loss is when TXU closes on may 19th, at $47.50. we lose $2.1
This trade is based on Technical analysis on TXU, and Implied Vol analysis (i gotta a chart on Implied volatility... maybe i will post it...let me see if anyone is interested..lol)
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